Maybe foolish question Backtest, Nasdaq, CFD, Futur

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  • This topic has 20 replies, 5 voices, and was last updated 3 years ago by avatarJS.
Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 21 total)
  • #187235

    hello avery one, I hope you are fine,

    after a long time of study on the chartism I ask myself today the question, for an index for example like the Nasdaq, it is necessary to use CDF or future or the Indice chart, I see for example that there are several Futur and that the candlesticks are not exactly identical ?

     

    what do you think ?

    Best Reguards

    #187250

    with PRT by IG I find : US Tech 100 Cash, that is a Future or a CDF ? and sorry again if the question it’s not make sense

    #187252

    This is the Search function in the main menu (click the loupe). Choose Future. Now refine your search with tickers or names.

    Normally a Future is open (like Nasdaq almost 23 hours per day) while the stock it is about (what is contains the “future” about) is more limited open. Indices are representatives from stocks (certain baskets of them), and they are open at the same time as stocks.

    When the markets are open, Futures and Indices of the same will always show about the same price. The both are certainly not equally volatile. For example, I never trade Indices and always trade Futures.

    No stupid questions at all !!

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #187254

    PS: Although you can trade Futures longer (during the day) than stocks and indices, trading Futures is almost “infinitely” more complex. If you would have questions about them, normal support usually can’t answer those questions. Traders would, though.
    Futures take a long path of learning, to do them well and understand all of them (I mainly talk about the financial Futures like Nasdaq, S&P500, DAX, CAC).

    Most of the complexity is about their settlement times (or even dates, with holidays) and how a trading platform deals with that all, where no trading platform agrees. This, for example, is PRT and the AEX from last night, a few minutes into the trade (and 90 minutes or so after closing time), PRT showing it plain wrongly (no 11K loss, but only a few euros (USD in my case) loss. This imposes “issues” the next morning (where to put Limits etc.) and this is only one. They are almost all different with their own “issues”.

    Still advisable over Indices. 🙂

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #187257

    tks you, I find this for exemple, so I can’t see in this search the US Tech 100 Cash (1€) ?

    and if all this is Futur, So where is the CFD ? 😉

    I have always heard that futures have closing dates, and that you should always close your positions before the new contracts, is this still true for index’s futures ?

    #187259

    Peter, why are Futures advisable over Indices?

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #187261

    I have always heard that futures have closing dates, and that you should always close your positions before the new contracts, is this still true for index’s futures ?

    Z.C., Yes. The one I showed is valid till Feb 2022. It also shows its expiration date (2nd attachment). So before that time you need to be “out” of it, or else “something” determines its end price (a handful of traders still in there can manage huge swings). The expiration dates and times are different for all, can hardly be found anywhere (but PRT shows them perfectly) and the one expires each month, the other each 3 months, thus some all in the same week but the one with less “roll over” time than the other and … and this is only one aspect of them. After a year I was able to tell (my) support how it really works, which doesn’t mean that I can organize all within the time required.
    Notice the (e.g.) (AEX)XXXX special versions, which have history beyond the future itself.

    Guessing their names for the next period (like the AEX will be AEX0322) also is a kind of “skill” until you just know how to to it. This also relates to at least 3 different “tickers”, like in this example AEX and FTI, but at the broker again something else (must start their program to see it).
    Blablabla ?
    🙂

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #187268

    Peter, why are Futures advisable over Indices?

    Hi GraHal,

    Some things may be subjective, and some even wrong for the broker (IB vs IG), but Futures

    • Are cheaper (commission and such);
    • Come with more margin headroom;
    • Predict what the stocks will do while you contribute to the prediction itself;
    • Move all together in the same direction (computer systems !) except for that what you are able to see (through);
    • Work at night with stocks in after market, or pre-market (mainly USA); Thus stocks still reflect the future to be;
    • They represent markets (also after hours) of which you can see a nice example in the attachment.

     

    The latter is (at least for me) interesting, because I try to follow what’s going on in the world. Below you see the USA (first 3) being the same for curve (quite similar) while the bottom one (Germany) is different, but should be equal again to the AEX (not shown) and more European Futures. In this case the German(y  DAX) is not the same at all for its curve, which “predicts” something for later tonight and what I really work with. Also notice that Europe has just settled (17:30 Amsterdam time) while USA does that 4.5 hours later, DAX closing at that USA settling time and USA closing at one hour later. USA reopens again 1 hour later (00:00 my time) the DAX again 1h15 later (01:15). AEX and the others next morning 08:00. All work into each other, and throughout a day many things happen because markets open. Let’s say it brings you a lively day, each day again. And one can really earn money when keen on those matters/subjects.

    One of the elements is that what you see from the DAX for today’s profit, is not correct at all because it is the profit since the last settlement, by now over 24 hours ago. So no way the DAX (representative for Europe) is doing more than 1% better than USA, but everybody including Bloomberg will tell you so.

    You know what ? PRT-IB does not allow to trade the UK LFE future because nobody is interested in that, they say. They say what ?!
    Not even during Brexit times ? of Jhexit times ? (made up that one on the spot).

    So yeah. Probably all personal.

    2 users thanked author for this post.
    #187339

    tks for your complete answer<span class=”bbp-author-name”> PeterSt</span>

    if you have PRT with IG can you give me any ticker (ISIN) code of one CDF and Futur on Nasdaq pls ?

    #187347

    there’s a search box in the main tool bar.

    just type in NASDAQ, or US Tech 100 CASH €1

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #187349

    NASDAQ would be one. But be extremely carful, because one contract is USD 305200, OK ?
    See the attachment under the mouse pointer. The Point Value (Punt Waarde) equals $20. That means that the price is to be multiplied with 20.

    This is the Mini version. Micro exists too. See 2nd attachment, the one with the $1 value (thus one contract is 1x the price). Ticker is the same, but it can be selected in a chart – see 3rd attachment.

    Maybe others should overrule what I am saying here, because I don’t trust myself much with IG (unfamiliar ticker names). Prices don’t compare either (4th attachment, left is IB, right is IG). Opening Times are also different (full 24 h for IG).
    It lists under Futures, but the description says Indice. I don’t see an expiration as well for the IG versions.

    Can someone else answer this better, please ?

     

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #187357

    Correct me if I’m wrong. but anythng from IG is not a true Future at all?

    A ‘Future’ contract offered by IG is based on / priced around the Futures Contract (of whatever is indicated in the IG Instrument name).

    Same with CFD from IG these are all in-house IG Instruments which are not traded outside of IG.

    I’m only saying in case anybody thinks … yeah I trade Futures! 🙂 Well we kinda do, but we dont!? 🙂

    2 users thanked author for this post.
    #187378

    Correct me if I’m wrong. but anythng from IG is not a true Future at all?

    yes, now I think that is what you said, with IG you don’t trade Future but you trade an CFD, so it’s mean they haven’t some one from of you to buy or sell but they have only the Brocker, and the market it’s beetwen you and the broker, it’s mean nothink official (unofficial market), in french we said “gré à gré” mean in english  OTC for “over the counter” and they haven’t a date for open and close like Futur,

    but Future product it’s or share I don’t know how to said, it’s an Official product and you can trade it only in the official market and the life of the product is about 1 month and you have to sell your product before the third Friday of each month

    now I have some question if some can answer :
    1) what is the exactly menmonique or ticker or ISIN of the Nasdaq 100 Futur pls ? and if they have only one in the world and also if the name is the same all the time ?
    2) the idea too, it’s possible or normal or logical to use the technical analysis on this share ?
    3) and if the Futur share have to close every month so what about the technical analysis ? because if the share is existing only for a month so the technical analysis will be a mess, and the Backtest will mean realy nothink
    4) what about the technical analysis on the IG CFD compared to the real Future or to the indice, I mean it’s same or we have to check ?

    #187406
    JS

    Retail investors in particular are often shocked by futures  trading and  often switch to CFDs (Contracts for Difference), which have become increasingly popular in recent years. But also with CFDs there are advantages and disadvantages. As with futures trading, CFDs also allow you to generate high profits with a small capital investment due to leverage. However, a disadvantage is usually that the prices and spreads can be to your disadvantage. The cost of CFDs can therefore be considerably higher. You also pay interest for holding CFDs, as you receive an advance payment from the issuing party.

    Often investors choose CFDs because they find the leverage of normal futures too high. In recent years, however, mini and micro futures have also been launched, so that can no longer be a reason for choosing CFDs.

    CFD trading is not transparent with many brokers (like IG), because transactions do not take place via a regulated exchange. Brokers (IG) can set the prices for CFDs themselves and that can be detrimental.

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #187410
    JS

    @ZeroCafeine

    ISIN: US6311011026

    Ticker: NDX

    (Symbol: NQ)

    Nasdaq futures are traded on the GLOBEX exchange, part of CME Group.  This is the regulated exchange, the name is protected so on unregulated exchanges they have to come up with another names such as “US Tech 100” or “Nasdaq 100″…

    The expiration of the Nasdaq future takes place four times a year, in March, June, September and December.

    The opening hours are the same as those of the other major US futures, which continues almost 24 hours a day.

    Index futures often have to do with positive cost of carry.  The future will therefore usually trade slightly higher than the stock index. At the end of the term, the gap with the index narrows, because the remaining maturity implies lower costs.

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