Pathfinder Trading System

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Viewing 15 posts - 511 through 525 (of 1,835 total)
  • #19213

    Hey dajvop,

    there is nothing you did wrong. It seems to be caused by the starting date of the backtest. if you change it to another date is shows a better restult. e.g. 01.09.2012 (the time change that you made should make no changes, because the times the system makes trades is at 9:00, 13:00, 17:00 and 21:00)

    but I cannot say why there are these differences.

    maybe the calculation of the high and low points depends on the starting date?

    Hope I was able to help.

    mfg

    Flo

    #19214

    @flowsen123

    Changed starting date to 1 sept 2012 and got 136 trades (+118/-18) instead. Mighty strange if you ask me 🙂

    How is one supposed to backtest properly if a date change of 2 days has that kind of impact?

    Regards, David

    #19225

    We noticed such errors of the backtests previously (a few pages before), especially around the 29/12/2015-03/01/2016: the results are quite differents for all the following trades of the year, which is absurd. We have no explanations.

    #19232

    Hi Renier,

    can you post in a excel the optimization variable for seasonal pattern of your daily comparison?

    Do you test one by one the month for optimization or all together?
    Thanks in advance

    #19245

    Hi Flo,

    Thanks for your contribution. Your backtest is really good and I like that you follow my recommendation to focus on the drawdown. I recommend to increase takeProfitShort from 0.5 to 1.5 because the system could make more money on the short side with the same drawdown. Please keep in mind that the parameter settings should also cover different future scenarios. Your saisonal adjustments are good for the last 7 years and you did a perfect job. With the help of Pathfinder DOW daily we can now compile saisonal adjustments for the last 37 years and this information is very valuable. Based on your work I made some optimizations and I have tried to harmonize the settings with the longterm saisonal pattern. Overall this approach provides more robust parameter settings and especially show the potential risks (e.g. June and September).

    Please find attached Pathfinder DOW 4H V6 and Pathfinder DOW daily V2

    Best, Reiner

    4 users thanked author for this post.
    #19257

    Hi sylvess,

    as long as not all Pathfinder pieces are together I prefer to have everything in one topic. This forum is so much more as this little breakout algo and I don’t want bother the other users with 20 Pathfinder topics. Maybe we split later in different subtopics but not yet.

    Best, Reiner

    #19259

    Salve AleX,

    I just reworking all Pathfinder daily versions and will publish all infos soon.

    I described the optimization approach here http://www.prorealcode.com/topic/pathfinder-trading-system/page/33/#post-19123

    Last step is to set all saisonal adjustments to 0 and start with January and optimize with two variables every month in the range of 0-3 focused on the drawdown value.

    move to next month and so on

    Saluti, Reiner

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #19260

    @Reiner
    You don’t bother anyone 🙂

    Once again these forums belong to everyone here, open as many topics and ask as many questions you like.

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #19265

    Hi

    I tried to do the job for Natural Gas (NG), but I only have few months back..

    Is it the same for everyone?

    #19269
    #19315

    Salve Massimo,

    all Pathfinder 4H systems require 24 hours quoting (6 candles per day). For the DOW these feature is available since April 2010. Backtests before this date doesn’t work with the default parameter setup.

    Saluti, Reiner

    #19316

    Hi traderfred,

    Here you will find the Pathfinder NG daily version V2 with data history start from 1990.

    http://www.prorealcode.com/topic/pathfinder-trading-system/page/34/#post-19171

    Best, Reiner

    #19317

    Hi Reiner,

    Thanks a lot.

    I will use it..The question was also in order to see if I’m able to make the optimization 🙂

    Other question: I’m running DAX 4H V6 on backtest. (next week live!) Positions are currently open (from 21st and 23th of december) Is it correct?

    Best regards,

    Fred

     

    #19318

    @Fred

    Yes, 4 long positions open (2 since 21st and 2 since 23th).

    Regards, David

    #19324

    Hi Reiner. I’m still trying to make a more conservative version of DAX 4H v6. I wrote about the risk before, also someone asked about a ver. for a small account. I saw you suggested a max 3 positionsize ver. I tested many variation of v6 code but since the positionsize is not linear I can’t find a solution that would go all the way including a money management code. I discovered that simplify the original code to only maxpositionsize=3 it also cut more on the gain side. So perhaps a new optimisation was needed? I multiplied the DD with 2 and added 1K for margin if the 3 positions. So this should be for a 4k account. Downside is that the DD is still more or less same as the V6 but the gain is only half. On the good side, it only risk a third of the orginal V6.- it has max 2 consecutive loss and 22 wins since July 2009

    I tried to do the optimisation, and this was what I came up with. I’d like you comments if you think it’s optimized correct or not since this is my first optimisation try for you code 🙂

    I have added a comparison screenshoot of the orginal V6 with max 3 positionsize and the new optimized V6b5

    cheers Kasper

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
Viewing 15 posts - 511 through 525 (of 1,835 total)

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