The fall of Outperforming Long Bots

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  • This topic has 25 replies, 8 voices, and was last updated 1 hour ago by avatarJS.
Viewing 11 posts - 16 through 26 (of 26 total)
  • #246362
    JS

    The code runs on a 1-minute timeframe, and I do not use StopLoss, TakeProfit, or TrailingStops.
    What I do use is a kind of emergency stop set at 2% (based on PositionPerf).
    The decomposition and standard deviation I use have a period of 100 minutes, meaning it looks back 100 minutes.
    Every minute, the code checks whether a characteristic of the signal crosses a certain threshold.
    In earlier versions, these thresholds were static, but in the latest version, they are dynamic, based on the aforementioned standard deviation.
    Only these threshold values have been optimized, and that optimization was done over a dataset of 200k units.

    2 users thanked author for this post.
    #246365
    JS

    I also apply money management, where the system starts with a minimum position size of 0.2 contracts.

    All profits are reinvested, with a maximum position size capped at 10 contracts (for the sake of my blood pressure 😅).

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #246413

    This is gold.

    Just had to unload my brain onto a whiteboard before commencing studies. This may take me all year and hopefully be done with indicators. Godspeed to you too @Grahal and anybody else pursuing this direction.

    2 users thanked author for this post.
    #246422

    JS are you using Indicators to quantify any or even all of the ‘9 dominant characteristics of the signal’?

    Is High, Low, Open and Close … 4 of the 9 characteristics or does decomposition centre around ‘Close’ only?

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    avatar JS
    #246423
    JS

    No, I don’t use indicators only simple arithmetic…

    It’s only about the decomposition of the “Close”…

    #246428

    JS is your System we are talking about here based on below, and also with your recent addition of standard deviation?
    Big Thanks in Anticipation

    {\displaystyle y[n]=\sum _{k=0}^{N}a_{k}\,x[n-k]+\sum _{i=1}^{M}b_{i}\,y[n-i]}

    #246429
    JS

    Yes, that’s part of it, along with an equivalent formula using the standard deviation…

    2 users thanked author for this post.
    #246431

    I was good at math… but I still don’t understand this.

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    avatar JS
    #246441
    JS

    It is a similar type of formula to the one used for an EMA, for example:

    EMA[n] = α ⋅ x[n] + (1 − α) ⋅ EMA[n−1]

    Both formulas are recursive, meaning that previously calculated values (of the EMA) are used in the current calculation…

    #246442

    JS, have you read his last book ? And are you using MTF ?

    #246443
    JS

    His last book?

    No use of MTF… (only 1 minute)

Viewing 11 posts - 16 through 26 (of 26 total)

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