US100 mini – Overnight Swing Strategy – AI

Forums ProRealTime English forum ProOrder support US100 mini – Overnight Swing Strategy – AI

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 27 total)
  • #223499

    Dear ProRealCode members,

    Background:

    I am 54 years of age, have worked and obtained experience in the traditional- and alternative investment space and was until mid-2019 part of a multi national FinTech business. During the COVID lockdowns in 2020, i took the opportunity to study 47 trading books and during the last 3 years I was fortunate to implement all my work experiences and skills into developing, on a full-time basis, proprietary ProRealTime code which includes indicators and strategies.

    ( https://za.linkedin.com/in/niel-rossouw-055b9510 )

    High-level Code Description:

    I have written 1500 line code, inclusive of indicator count, that incorporates 8 different strategies ranging from deep value-, mean-reversion-, reversal- and micro-trend following strategies.

    As a vivid supporter of the late Dr. Van K. Tharp, a well-known US trading coach, he made it clear in his book “Super Trader” that to quote him, “position sizing is probably responsible for 90% of your performance variability”.

    During the last year, my focus moved from designing more trading codes and indicators to the design and implementation of a robust position sizing strategy making use of proprietary- and standard indicators that I fused into an array of FinTech and/or Low-level AI techniques to determine an optimal position size.

    I use tight ATR-based Targets and Stops.

    Results:

    The full set of data for almost 13 years on PRT was used in the backtest, in tick-by-tick mode.

    Results are based on a post-PRT-Walk forward simulation of one indicator to make sure that the overfitting of data is kept to a minimum.

    The code is successful in trading 8 different equity market indices and plenty of prominent single stock futures supplied by the IG.com broker platform.

    Details:

    9-11-2023 – Optimised for GAIN, 50:50 In-sample to Out-of-sample ratio

    All CFD mini contacts:

    MARKET.            CAGR.       STARTUP CAPITAL.
    FANG                       90%             $20k
    US100                      95%             $20k
    US500                      39%            $20k
    DOW                         19%            $20k
    DAX                           14%           $20k
    CAC                             8%           $20k
    FTSE                           8%           $20k
    SA40                           9%    ZAR200k

    Note that the above individual indices do carry a different “Risk load” because as the market liquidity decreases, price volatility normally increases.

    Conclusion:

    I thought of sharing the above observations so that members can create “prompts” within the discussion framework, for all of us to understand any weaknesses in creating algo’s and for members to engage in discussions to create mutual opportunities.

    Regards,

    Niel

    (I do struggle to upload additional screenshots to the gallery but will they in a follow-up comment section)

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #223947

    Hi Absolute, thanks for sharing. You should now be able to share the code file and all screenshots in this topic.

    #224423

    Hi Neil, sounds good. Nice to see a fellow South African on the forums from time to time. Good luck with your development.

    Johann

    #224425

    Niel, I agree with the position sizing playing an integral part of any strategy not only in regards to risk but also returns. To pick the right time to increase or decrease or be square is paramount. Also I have found that to have a well diversified portfolio of different strategies on the same instrument is sometimes better than to have one strategy on various instruments, to have various different strategies on various different instruments is the goal but margin call then comes into play. Robustness for me is to test a algo developed on a instrument on another instrument that way you can insure the different data set is really different. I also try to stay away from short time frames, too many rabbit holes, I stick to 1 hour TF but every now and again I find myself trying to code in a 5min TF, difficult to try and avoid but one should try and resist the temptation.

    #224430

    Personally I don’t see the value of Niel’s post yet, because of the lacking screenshots ? It looks very promising though.
    So @Absolute, can we help you further with posting those screenshots ?
    Thanks !
    Peter

    #224476

    Hi All, as promised find the US100 mini, Walk-Forward Optimisation results that was done today together with the implementation thereof in a backtest.  The only parameter that was optimised is the Risk Level.

    The obvious initial questions are:

    a. Whether the results are objective and achievable ?

    b. Whether the broker would be able to perform on the order book ?

    Let us see whether this can create a positive discussion in search of the optimal strategy.

    #224478

    Niel, during posting – like I am now – use the button you see below at the mouse pointer to browse for the file you want to upload.

     

    #224482

    Thank You @Absolute but still missing the screenshot attachments … we are all waiting with bated breath! 😉

    #224485

    Sorry about the delay – My default browser is Safari.

    I have just started Chrome and it would work now.

    #224487

    @PeterSt – screenshot attached from Chrome.

    #224489

    Let’s try again…

    #224493

    Let’s try again:

    #224495

    Here we go:

    #224498

    Hi Nicolas, I still struggle to upload .png screenshots….

    #224500

    4 files .jpeg attached.

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 27 total)

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